رتبه بندی ظرفیت های ایجاد رونق اقتصادی در منطقه ۹ آمایش سرزمین (مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)
درجه علمی: نشریه علمی (وزارت علوم)
آرشیو
چکیده
مناطق یکی از بخش های مهم جهت رشد اقتصادی و تولید یک کشور به شمار می آید. ارزش افزوده بخش های مهم اقتصادی نشان دهنده بهره گیری متناسب از منابع انسانی و طبیعی متناسب به هر منطقه است. امروزه رشد اقتصادی مناطق یک بحث کلیدی و مهم برای دولت و جامعه محسوب می شود. رشد اقتصادی یک منطقه دربرگیرنده رشد همه جانبه در تمام بخش های موجود در آن جامعه است تحقیق حاضر بررسی رشد و رونق اقتصادی پنجاه ودو شهرستان در منطقه ۹ آمایش سرزمین از طریق رتبه بندی ارزش افزوده انجام شده است؛ بنابراین، ابتدا با استفاده ازنظر دوازده نفر از خبرگان و متخصصین مبتنی بر روش تحلیل سلسله مراتبی ضریب اهمیت بخش های کشاورزی، معدن، صنعت و خدمات شناسایی شد، سپس جهت دستیابی به رتبه شهرستان ها با استفاده از داده های مرکز آمار و با استفاده از روش تاپسیس شهرستان هایی که ایجاد رونق اقتصادی در منطقه را دارند شناسایی شده اند. نتایج نشان می دهد جهت رونق اقتصادی به ترتیب بخش کشاورزی، معدن، خدمات و صنعت از اهمیت بالایی در منطقه برخوردار هستند. همچنین با استفاده از روش تاپسیس مشخص شد جهت ایجاد رونق اقتصادی در منطقه ۹ آمایش سرزمین، به ترتیب شهرستان مشهد با گرفتن ضریب 59/0 در رتبه اول قرار گرفت است و به ترتیب شهرستان های خواف 46/0 و زیر کوه 41/0 در رتبه دوم و سوم قرارداد و شهرستان های صالح آباد 014/0، ششتمد 023/0 و کوه سرخ 002/0 به ترتیب در رتبه های آخر قرار گرفته اند؛ بنابراین سیاست گذاران اقتصادی در منطقه می بایست منابع و تسهیلات مختلف را جهت ایجاد رونق اقتصادی در بخش های کشاورزی صنعت، خدمات و معدن در اولویت قرار دهند و امکانات زیرساختی را جهت ارتقای شاخص های اقتصادی، اجتماعی و فرهنگی در شهرستان های کم برخوردار فراهم نمایند.متن
Ranking the Capacities for Creating Economic Prosperity in Region ۹ of Land Use Planning
Introduction
Assessing the capacity to foster economic prosperity is a critical and constructive factor for planning and implementing any government’s long-term strategies within a region or society. Without an accurate evaluation of economic prosperity, governments and economic policymakers may encounter epistemological challenges within their economic communities. Therefore, a comprehensive understanding of a region’s economic prosperity is essential for policy planning. Regions and villages serve as the primary levels of management and are the main implementers of government policies. In today’s world, the regional economy plays a significant role in management and development planning. The regional economy comprises various sectors, each possessing different capacities and capabilities. For regional development and national development planning, it is imperative not to make assumptions about investment, production, and employment being constant across all sectors. Optimal allocation of production facilities and resources requires consideration of regional potentials and capabilities in the production of goods and services in all national development plans. This approach can potentially increase the share of economic sectors in national production. Therefore, identifying drivers to create economic prosperity in the ۹th region of land use planning is considered an important strategy for implementing economic development growth policies. Given the importance of this subject, this research aims to measure the capacity for creating economic prosperity in the ۹th district using a multi-criteria decision-making method. The research seeks to assess which cities have a higher capacity and potential for creating economic prosperity in the ۹th region. It also aims to determine the importance coefficient of different economic sectors from experts’ perspectives. The results indicate that agriculture, mining, services, and industry are highly significant in the region for economic prosperity.
Methods
The main objective of this study is to identify the drivers of economic prosperity among large cities (region ۹ of land use planning) based on a multi-criteria decision-making model. This study is applied in terms of its objectives. The data collection methodology is based on library and documentary data, as well as questionnaires. The output from these questionnaires has been processed using Expert Choice software. The research approach is descriptive-analytical. The data used in this research are obtained from the Statistical Center of Iran. The study’s statistical population encompasses nine regions (South, North, and Razavi) and ۵۲ counties within these regions. The research aims to rank these nine regions and ۵۲ counties using the TOPSIS model and hierarchical analysis. The methodology for implementing this ranking process is detailed in the following sections.
Findings
The findings from the TOPSIS (AHP) model, based on the insights of twelve experts in the field of economic sciences and planning, indicate that the agriculture index, with a weight of ۰.۴۲۱, is ranked first. This is followed by the mining index with a weight of ۰.۲۷۷ in second place, and the service index with a weight of ۰.۱۵۷ in third place. The industry index, with a weight of ۰.۱۴۵, is positioned last. When excluding the added value of oil and gas, the cities are ranked as follows: Mashhad leads with a score of ۰.۵۹۳, followed by Khaf with a score of ۰.۴۶۳, and Zirkuh with a score of ۰.۴۱۴, placing them in first, second, and third places respectively. Conversely, the cities of Salehabad (score: ۰.۰۱۴), Sheshtamad (score: ۰.۰۰۲), and Kuhsorkh (score: ۰.۰۰۱) are ranked at the bottom.
Conclusion
This study aims to rank the potential for economic prosperity in the ninth region of Iran’s land use planning. The ranking is based on a multi-criteria decision-making model, utilizing four sub-economic indices from the country’s national accounts in ۲۰۲۰. These economic sub-indices are categorized into four sectors: agriculture, industry, mining, and services. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) model was employed to weight these indices and determine their significance. Through pairwise comparison of the four indices and assigning weights based on expert opinions, it was determined that the agriculture sector received the highest weight of ۰.۴۲۱, followed by mining with a weight of ۰.۲۷۷. The service sector was assigned a lower weight of ۰.۱۵۷, while the industry sector received the lowest weight of ۰.۱۴۵.
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