بررسی تأثیر توسعه گردشگری و تولید ناخالص داخلی سرانه بر انتشار گاز دی اکسید کربن در منحنی کوزنتس کشورهای منتخب اسلامی (رویکرد غیرخطی PSTR) (مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)
درجه علمی: نشریه علمی (وزارت علوم)
آرشیو
چکیده
هدف از این مطالعه بررسی نحوه تأثیرگذاری تولید ناخالص داخلی سرانه و توسعه صنعت گردشگری بر انتشار گاز دی اکسید کربن با استفاده از فرضیه منحنی زیست محیطی کوزنتس برای کشورهای منتخب اسلامی می باشد. برای انجام این مطالعه از تکنیک اقتصادسنجی رگرسیون انتقال ملایم پانلی طی سال های 2013-1995 استفاده شده است. نتایج حاصل از این مطالعه نشانگر آن است که در هر دو رژیم خطی و غیرخطی با افزایش تولید ناخالص داخلی میزان انتشار دی اکسید کربن افزایش می یابد و این کشورها قسمت نزولی منحنی کوزنتس را تجربه نمی کنند. همچنین نتایج حاکی از آن است که برای این کشورها توسعه گردشگری منجر به بهبود کیفیت محیط زیست می شود، مصرف انرژی منجر به کاهش کیفیت محیط زیست شده و افزایش مخارج سلامتی انتشار دی اکسید کربن را افزایش می دهد.The Effect of Tourism Development and Economic Growth on CO2 Emissions in Kuznets Curve in Selected Islamic Countries (Non-linear Approach PSTR)
The aim of this study was to determine the impact of economic growth and tourism development on carbon dioxide emissions using the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis for the countries of Islam. In this study of econometric regression techniques Panel Smooth Transition During the years 1995-2013 were used. The results of this study shows that in both the regime and non-linear line with GDP growth rate of carbon dioxide emissions increased and those countries downstream part of the Kuznets curve don't experience. The results also indicate that these countries to develop tourism led to improve the quality of the environment, energy consumption could lead to a reduction in the quality of the environment and an increase in carbon dioxide emissions health spending increases. Introduction The aim of this study was to investigate how to influencing GDP per capita and the development of the tourism industry on the release of carbon dioxide gas by using environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis for selected countries regard Islamic. To do this the study of the Panel data Econometrics techniques gentle transition regression during the 2013 is used. Methodology It is also used in this pattern of Econometrics regression is: Experimental studies for more detailed investigation confirmed the likelihood of the hypothesis of EKC fitted in addition to other variables variable economic growth, there is also essential to be fitted in this study the tourism index variables, energy consumption, gross fixed capital structure and health spending is also in the model. Model estimation and results analysis The results of the estimation of the model regime in the PSTR two table (6) terms. Slope parameter that indicates the speed of the transition from one regime to another regime, is estimated to be the equivalent of 72.1. As well as a GDP per capita threshold for selected countries as well as the amount of Islamic 67.6. In other words, when the value of the gross domestic product per capita is equal to 67.6, influencing the direction or intensity of gross domestic product per capita on carbon dioxide. In other words, the equivalent of a 725.1 regime change happens fast. Discussion and Conclusion Generally, in order to check such experimental studies on the curve, the dependent variable decreases the quality of the environment considered to be fitted in addition to the explanatory variable and the GDP per capita can be fitted, depending on the goals of the research, the amount of investment capital being fitted open economy, energy consumption, population growth, urbanization, etc. And depending on the statistical sample and study period of experimental results obtained differently. Results Overall analysis of the relationship between energy consumption, gross domestic product and release carbon di oxide fitted through the identification of the factors influencing the release of carbon dioxide gas fitted fitted provides. Changes in energy consumption relative to GDP by virtue of a change in the intensity of energy and finally the release of carbon oxide affect the fitted fitted these to be pointed out that between energy consumption and emission of carbon dioxide there are relationship fitted. Keywords : Carbon Dioxide, Development of Tourism, Economic Growth, Islamic Countries, Panel Smooth Transition Regression. References Arbulu, I., Lozano, J. and Rey-Maquieira, J. (2015). Tourism and solid waste generation in Europe: a panel data assessment of the Environmental Kuznets Curve, Waste Management , 46: 628-636. Dubois, Gh., Peeters, P., Ceron, J. and Gosseling, S. (2011). The future tourism mobility of the world population: estimation growth versus climate policy, Transportation Research Part A, Policy and Practice , 45: 1031-1042. Kort, P.M., Greiner, A., Feichtinger, G., Haunschmied, J.L. and Hartl, R.F. (2002). Environmental effects of tourism industry investments: An Qureshi, M.I., Khan, N.U., Rasli, A.M. Zaman, K. (2015). The battle of health with environmental evils of Asians countries: promises to keep, Environmental Science and Pollution Research , 22: 11708-11715. Zaman, Kh., Shahbaz, M., Loganathan, N., Reza, S. (2016). Tourism development, energy consumption and Environmental Kuznets Curve: Trivariate analysis in the panel of developed and developing countries, Tourism Management , 54: 275-283.
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