درخت حوزه‌های تخصصی

Improving return forecasting is very important for both investors and researchers in financial markets. In this study we try to aim this object by two new methods. First, instead of using traditional variable, gold prices have been used as predictor and compare the results with Goyal's variables. Second, unlike previous researches new machine learning algorithm called Deep learning (DP) has been used to improve return forecasting and then compare the results with historical average methods as bench mark model and use Diebold and Mariano’s and West’s statistic (DMW) for statistical evaluation. Results indicate that the applied DP model has higher accuracy compared to historical average model. It also indicates that out of sample prediction improvement does not always depend on high input variables numbers. On the other hand when using gold price as input variables, it is possible to improve this forecasting capability. Result also indicate that gold price has better accuracy than Goyal's variable to predicting out of sample return.

Behavioral financial knowledge deals with the behavior of investors and other users in the capital market. According to the financial knowledge, it is no longer expected that only factors such as accounting information and macroeconomic variables will affect decision-making but also a variety of behavioral variables including manager’s optimism, information influence management, patience of major shareholders and other investors' biases can have an impact on the prices and stock returns. The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of managers' optimism on the relationship between the patience of major shareholder and information influence management. This study attempts to investigate the relationship between these behaviors and information influence management by measuring the degree of major shareholders patience and managers’ optimism. This is a descriptive post-event research. The study population consisted of the companies listed on Tehran Stock Exchange (n = 87) between the years 2008 and 2017. Multivariate regression was used to test the hypotheses. The findings showed no significant relationship between the major shareholders patience and the information influence management (high, low, balanced). Further, it was found that managers’ optimism has a significant effect on the relationship between the major shareholders' patience and the information influence management (balanced level) and no significant relationship was observed between two other levels.

The effective role of capital in every country flows through giving guidelines for capital and resources, generalizing companies and sharing development projects with public, and also adding accredited companies stock market requires appropriate decision making for shareholders and investors who are willing to buy shares based on price mechanism. Forecasting stock price has always been a challenging task, since it is affected by many economic and non-economic factors and variables; therefore, selecting the best and the most efficient forecasting model is tough and essential. Up to now applying weighted mean called weighted mean price has been used to forecast industry average price for companies in the stock market and investors were forecasting based on this method. First we have identified 10 accredited banks in TSE and 10 banks in Iran Fara Bourse. In this article, by applying one of the mathematical optimizing techniques, industry means got calculated based on optimized parameters and compared with the industry average; in this statement we strived to find another variable that could forecast with less deviation.  In the following study, by calculating frequency level of deviations, average for price forecasting in banking industry during five years is examined. Finally, the research suggests that, instead of using mean of industry average, it is better to use mean average of golden number, which will lead us to more accurate results.

This study aimed to test the conceptual model on the causal relationship of motivation and consumption intention. To this end, 390 spectators who were present at the stadium, were randomly selected using stratified random sampling. They voluntarily completed Funk’s Motivation Scale and spectators’ consumption intention questionnaire. Structural Equation findings indicted a significantly positive relationship between the motivation and the consumption intentions among the spectators of Iran’s Premier Football League. There is a positive relationship between motivation and the components of consumption intention, including re-attendance, recommendation to others, purchase of team goods, and media consumption. The indices confirmed the optimal fit of the model. According to the results of the study, the authorities holding the Premier League matches as well as the clubs are recommended to have a detailed planning to enhance the motivation of the spectators as it had the greatest impact on re-attendance.

In this paper, a fractional multi- objective multi- product solid transportation problem with interval costs, supply, demand, and conveyances is investigated based on fuzzy programming approach. To minimize the problem, the order relations that represent the decision maker's (DM) performance between interval costs, supply, demand and conveyances are defined by the right limit, and the left limit. Through the deterministic problem is obtained, a fuzzy programming approach is applied by defining membership functions. A linear membership function is being used for obtaining optimal compromise solution. Finally, a numerical example is given to the utility of the approach.

The rapid development of communication technologies and information and online computers and their usage in processes of the industrial production have facilitated simultaneous monitoring of multiple variables (characteristics) in a process. In this work, we applied boosted decision tree and Monte Carlo simulation to propose an efficient method for detecting in-control and out-of-control states in multivariate control processes.In this work, four classifiers (methods) - , , , – are used for detecting the process control states. Then, with converting detection results these four classifiers, the boosted decision tree is made and provides the ultimate result as the in-control or the out-of-control states. To show how the proposed model works and the superiority of this method over , , , and methods, we run it on a standardized trivariate normal process. To compare and evaluate the performance of classifiers, we used ARL functions and the evaluation measures including Accuracy (ACC), Sensitivity (TPR), Specificity (SPC), and Precision (PPV). The findings not only showed the superiority of the proposed method over the tradition Chi-square but also confirmed former results on the efficiency of decision tree for rapid detecting of mean shifts in multivariate processes in which data are gathered automatically.

The present study is conducted to identify the components of the establishment of an ethical marketing system based on the Islamic-Iranian approach with emphasis on the food industry.In terms of its purpose it is a descriptive analytic type, and collects statistical data using a library methodology for research literature and Delphi method based on an expert opinion survey. In order to achieve the purpose, through an applied approach and through a survey method, a researcher-made questionnaire. Then, through the Delphi technique, which is a reliance on thought and use of expert knowledge and views and after three stages, the agreement and consensus of the Delphi group have reported on the components for the establishment of the ethical marketing system based on Islamic-Iranian approach. In order to consider the scientific and technical aspects, 30 experts in marketing system (marketing professors and experts in food industry marketing) were determined. Data analysis has been done with a mixed approach based on deep and structured studies and through content analysis. The results showed that social norms, organizational norms, green norms, individual norms, 4 ps norms and religious norms are among the requirements of establishing an ethical marketing system based on the Islamic-Iranian approach with emphasis on food industry. Standards and ethics in marketing approach is one of the most pressing issues for the review of the development and prosperity of Islamic countries. Adherence to such ethical practices can help to elevate the standards of behavior and thus of living, of traders and consumers alike. Selected key marketing issues are examined from an Islamic perspective which, it is argued, if adhered to, can help to create a value-loaded global ethical marketing framework for MNCs in general, and establish harmony and meaningful cooperation between international marketers and Muslim target markets in particular.

The purpose of this research was to provide a "Structural Equations Modeling Template" for the role of Human resources (HR) strategies on occupational performance development of colligate personnel. The current study is an applied research in terms of purpose, and a descriptive-analytical sample in terms of research method. The statistical population of this research included all employees Islamic Azad University of Shiraz Branch. The sampling method was "Random Classification". The standard questionnaire was used for data collection. By applying SMART PLS software, the research hypothesizes were made based on structural equations modeling & factor analysis .Findings showed that, there is a positive and significant relation between human resources development strategies and occupational performance of employees. Meanwhile, the HR development strategy, and employees' recruitment strategy have the greatest and the least impact on employees' occupational performance, respectively. The research findings showed importance of human resources strategies in evaluating occupational performance of employees. Therefore, HR strategies should be considered in Islamic Azad university of Shiraz.

Nowadays, organizational agility is a subject that its study has a significant impact on the growth and improvement of organizations. Present research in terms of purpose is applied and in terms of methodology is descriptive-exploratory. According to the theoretical hypotheses explained in the research, organizational, strategic, human, and technological factors were identified in this research as the factors explaining the organizational agility development model. The results obtained from the statistical analysis at the descriptive level demonstrated that average of organizational agility, human, organizational and strategic factors are greater than the average level and average of technological factors is at the average level. At the inferential level, which used confirmatory factor analysis, the results indicated that organizational, human, strategic, and technological factors are influential on the organizational agility development.