درخت حوزه‌های تخصصی

The study has two main objectives: firstly, to examine the opportunity of the Momentum and Contrarian investment strategy for three different monetary systems to trade currencies in Forex markets using Symlet wavelet decomposition approach. Secondly, to examine the co-movements between the three monetary systems using wavelet coherence analysis. The findings indicate that an investor with momentum strategy can consider investing in Bitcoin and Gold market, while the contrarian investment strategy is more advisable for the fiat money market during crisis period. Furthermore, the wavelet coherence analysis indicates that Bitcoin currency is the most leading monetary system during the Covid-19 pandemic crisis, followed by gold. However, US dollar mostly leads Bitcoin during non-crisis periods, while Gold is found to lead the US dollar throughout the sample period of the study. This suggests that the cryptocurrency system or gold standard should be considered as the alternative monetary system for better economic stability specially during the crisis period. Moreover, Bitcoin and gold had an anti-phase correlation before the Covid-19 pandemic crisis, which implies better benefits of hedging in the non-crisis period, while during a crisis they are moving together across different horizons. In contrast, Bitcoin and Fiat Money are strongly correlated during non-crisis periods, while during covide-19 pandemic crisis the correlation is statistically insignificant. Overall, the outcomes offer significant guidance for policymakers in understanding which monetary system leads to better economic stability during the crisis period and provides many implications for market players such hedging and Diversification investments strategy in forex markets.

Because colonial governments disrupt financial markets to exert political pressure on target countries. For this purpose, in this study, the effects of sanctions on the economic conditions of countries are examined. The criteria (sanctions) examined in this study were placed in international, property, commercial, knowledge, oil, finance and individual groups. These criteria are the sanctions imposed on Iran in the period 1984 to 2020. The method used for analysis is a combination of the Fuzzy Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory technique and sanctions intensity model. The results of this study indicate that in the introduced model, international sanctions are the most effective. These sanctions are most effective when the sanctioned government is in business. Thus, international sanctions have the greatest impact on the government's trade disputes (Commercial sanctions). International sanctions on a country like Iran, which trades in oil and sells its oil, affect oil sanctions as much as they affect Commercial sanctions, but less on individual sanctions. Finally, the results of the model indicate that the intensity of sanctions was at its peak between 2010 and 2015, with the greatest effect being due to international sanctions.

Being aware of the waiting time for selling residential units is one of the important issues in the housing sector for the majority of people, especially investors. There are several factors affecting the waiting time for selling residential units. Determining the influential factors on the time period of selling real estates can lead to an informed decision making by real estate consultants, sellers as well as those seeking to buy real estates. Using a real estate database in Iran, the present paper proposes a two-module procedure. The first module deals with implementation of association rule mining. Using the well-known association rule mining techniques namely FP-Growth, several association rules have been extracted which indicate the effective factors on the waiting time for selling residential units. Generated association rules have been evaluated based on metrics such as support, confidence and lift and finally the best rules are selected. The main objective of the second module is to develop a fuzzy inference system which can determine the factors influencing the waiting time for selling residential units from historical data, so that the model can be used to estimate the time it to sell the property for a real estate agency. Several IF-THEN rules are extracted from this module. Extracted rules can be used by real estate agencies as well as buyers and sellers of residential units to make better decisions in their investments. In conclusion section, a number of suggestions for future studies are presented. For example, machine learning algorithms such as neural networks, decision trees, etc. can also be used to predict the duration of residential units’ sale. The main objective of the second module is to develop a fuzzy inference system which can learn about the factors that influence the waiting time for selling residential units from historical data, so that the model can be used to estimate the time it takes to sell the property for a real estate agency. Several IF-THEN rules are extracted from this module. Extracted rules can be used by real estate agencies as well as buyers and sellers of residential units to make better decisions in their investments.