بررسی ابعاد پایه موثر بر آمایش دفاعی کشورهای خاورمیانه (مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)
درجه علمی: نشریه علمی (وزارت علوم)
آرشیو
چکیده
تحولاتی نظیر جهانی شدن، پیوستگی فضاهای جغرافیایی و همچنین تحولات صورت گرفته در عرصه فناوری های نظامی ، مسئله دفاع را به عنوان عامل اصلی بقاء کشورها دچار دگرگونی کرده است. چرا که تحول از جنگ سخت به سوی جنگ نرم و سپس جنگ هوشمند در طی دهه های اخیر، رویکردها نسبت به دفاع را متفاوت نموده است.این تحولات سبب توسعه بحث ها پیرامون آمایش دفاعی شده است. در این میان کشورهای خاورمیانه به واسطه شرایط خاص خود از نظر دفاعی اهمیت و جایگاه برجسته ای دارند. در مقاله حاضر با روش توصیفی و تحلیلی و با استفاده از یافته های کتابخانه ای و میدانی و با نرم افزار Smart PLS تلاش شده است ابعاد پایه ای موثر بر آمایش دفاعی کشورهای خاورمیانه را موردبررسی قرار دهد. نتایج پژوهش حاضر نشان دهنده آن است که مؤلفه های موثر در تحقیق حاضر شامل 130 مورد است که در قالب 15 بُعد قرار می گیرند. اهمیت این ابعاد در آمایش دفاعی کشورهای خاورمیانه به ترتیب عبارت اند از بعد ژئوپلیتیکی با امتیاز 43/0، بعد نظامی با امتیاز41/0، بعد اقتصادی با امتیاز 41/0، بعد سیاسی با امتیاز 39/0، بعد هیدرولوژی با امتیاز 34/0، بعد امنیتی با امتیاز 32/.، بعد اجتماعی با امتیاز 29/0، بعد جمعیتی با امتیاز 28/0، بعد فرهنگی با امتیاز 26/0، بعد علمی-بهداشتی با امتیاز 25/0، بعد ژئومورفولوژی با امتیاز 25/0، بعد ریاضی با امتیاز 2/0، بعد اقلیمی با امتیاز 2/0، بعد زیستی با امتیاز 2/0و بعد خاکی با امتیاز 18/0 می باشند.Basic dimensions affecting the defense of Middle East countries
Transformations such as globalization, the contiguity of geographical spaces, as well as developments in the field of military technologies have transformed the issue of defense as the main factor for the survival of countries. Because the transformation from hard to soft war and then the smart war in recent decades has changed the approaches to defense. These transformations have led to the development of discussions about defense purposes. Meanwhile, Middle East countries have a prominent position and importance in terms of defense due to their special conditions. This article has tried to investigate the basic dimensions affecting the defense of foreign countries with descriptive and analytical methods, using library and field findings and Smart-PLS software. The results of the current research show that the effective components in the current research include 130 items that are placed in the form of 15 dimensions. The importance of these dimensions in defense of the Middle East countries is, respectively, geopolitical dimension with a 0.43 score, military dimension with a 0.41 score, economic dimension with a 0.41 score, political dimension with a 0.39 score, hydrology dimension with a 0.34 score, security dimension with a 0.32 score, social dimension with a 0.29 score, demographic dimension with a 0.28 score, cultural dimension with a 0.26 score, scientific-health dimension with a 0.25 score, geomorphological dimension with a 0.25 score, mathematical dimension with a 0.2 score, climatic dimension with a 0.2 score, biological dimension with a 0.2 score and soil dimension with a 0.18 score.
Extended
Introduction
Security and defense are among the most vital issues for the preservation and survival of countries. In fact, defense and military affairs are necessary for countries' independence and political, cultural and economic development. Among them, geography and political geography are prominent fields that directly affect defense issues. Actions taken by a country in dimensions (political, military, economic, etc.) in order to maintain security and territorial integrity, guarantee independence and protection of its people against any enemy attack, will organize the geographical (spatial) environment, wise and appropriate distribution of critical places and sensitive centers and infrastructures are identified by taking into account the threats and the correct use of environmental capacities in political, economic, social, cultural, etc. dimensions, and as a result, it can lead to stability and stability in the country's geographical space.
The design of defense planning model according to the economic, cultural, political and environmental features in the new era when countries are facing external and internal threats as a sub-branch of territorial planning has received the attention and importance of officials and governance systems in order to be able to reduce these threats with accurate and systematic planning in the geographical space, defense planning is not separate from the flow of national and regional planning. It is important to pay attention to it based on the type and amount of external and internal threats to governance. Due to the expansion of the security circle, the government is not only responsible for creating military security. However, it must also exercise part of its authority in the direction of territorial management. On the other hand, there has been a transformation in the form of threats and wars based on changes and the movement from hard to soft war and finally, smart war is the basis for reviewing and recognizing the components that can be used in defense of countries, including the Middle East countries, have a prominent position and importance. Despite the internal differences between countries, the Middle East has commonalities and connections that can directly affect the overall defense of this geographical space.
Methodology
In terms of type and purpose, the current research is fundamentally applied. Also, it is descriptive and analytical in terms of nature. This research, in addition to the correct and realistic depiction of the defense situation of the Middle East countries, it is tried to provide a suitable model for the defense of the countries. The sources used in the current research are library and field sources (questionnaires). According to the subject of the current research, the statistical population of this research is a collection of people, experts and elites who have sufficient knowledge, experience and expertise regarding the research topic, which is the design of the defense model, according to the nature of the Delphi pattern model, at least the statistical population based on the sources should be between twenty and fifty people to reach statistical saturation.
The number of selected samples included 51 people who were identified in the form of a non-random sampling pattern and introduced as a statistical sample in the framework of the Delphi model. Due to the qualitative nature of this research, it has been tried to use the Delphi model in the framework of the targeted non-random model. Therefore, based on these cases, the current research has selected the maximum statistical population of 51 elites, experts, and opinionated people in this field. In this research, to evaluate the research hypotheses in the form of the hardness equations model, the partial least squares method and the SMART-PLS software, which is a variance-based path modeling technique and provides the possibility of checking the theory and metrics simultaneously, have been exerted.
Results and discussion
In this research, approaches such as political, military, cultural, etc., in the field of land use have been discussed. In the meantime, the defense of countries as an emerging approach is significant. According to the developments in geographical spaces, such as the evolution of military-defense technologies, the connection of geographical spaces to each other and most importantly, the movement from hard and soft war to smart war has witnessed a transformation and wide attention in a way that countries are suited to these developments are trying to prepare the geographical space of their country in terms of defense. Therefore, the defense planning of the Middle East countries as a geographical region has great importance from a geopolitical and strategic point of view, which indicates that the countries of this region face threats and complex defense-security issues in different ways.
Conclusion
The results of the present research show that the defense planning in developing countries should be considered according to their characteristics, considering all 15 dimensions, which include 130 components. In the design of the defense planning of these countries, attention should be paid to the weight and importance of the shaping dimensions. In general, it can be said that the defense planning of the Middle East countries is proportional to the geographical features of these countries and on the other hand, considering the developments in the field of threats and moving from hard to smart war, 15 dimensions should be considered for the defense of these countries.
Funding
There is no funding support.
Authors’ Contribution
Authors contributed equally to the conceptualization and writing of the article. All of the authors approved thecontent of the manuscript and agreed on all aspects of the work declaration of competing interest none.
Conflict of Interest
Authors declared no conflict of interest.
Acknowledgments
We are grateful to all the scientific consultants of this paper.
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