تبیین قدرت یابی احزاب راست رادیکال اروپایی ( 2008- 2018) بر پایه رویکرد «عرضه و تقاضای» پوپولیستی (مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)
درجه علمی: نشریه علمی (وزارت علوم)
آرشیو
چکیده
بسیاری از تحلیلگران، قدرت گیری جریانات پوپولیس تی در اروپا را نماد و مُسَ بِب ناپایداری و «گسست سیاست» اروپایی خوانده اند. ظهور سریع رهبران و احزاب پوپولیست در قدرت از میانه دهه 2000 تا سال های پایانی دهه 2010 نشان داد که شیوع و مقبولیت پوپولیسم به بالاترین حد خود در 30 سال گذشته رسیده است. به ویژه از سال 2016، به قدرت رسیدن احزاب و جنبش های پوپولیستی مخالف آموزه های لیبرالیس تی در اروپا و ایالات متحده به نگرانی ها در خصوص گسترش شیوه های اقتدارگرایی سیاست در این کشورها دامن زده است. پرسش اصلی پژوهش این است که علل و زمینه های قدرت یابی جریانات پوپولیستی و به ویژه احزاب راست رادیکال در طی دو دهه گذشته در اروپا چه بوده است؟ یافته های پژوهش با بهره گیری از رویکردی بدیع در قالب نظریه «عرضه و تقاضا» پوپولیستی نشان می دهد که مطالبات و نارضایتی های 1- اقتصادی و 2- اجتماعی- فرهنگی در سَمت تقاضا (رویکرد پایین به بالا) و در مقابل، استراتژی ها و سازوکارهای سیاسی- نهادی بکار گرفته از سوی دولتمردان و احزاب پوپولیستی در سَمت عرضهِ سیاست های پوپولیستی (رویکرد بالا به پایین)، موجب روی آوری رأی دهندگان اروپایی به رهبران و احزاب راست افراطی و فراهم شدن شرایط بسیج سیاسی شهروندان از سوی این احزاب شده است. روش پژوهش، کیفی از نوع تبیین علی و روش گردآوری داده ها کتابخانه ای است.Explaining the Rise of Radical Right Parties in Europe (2008–2018): An Approach Based on Supply and Demand of Populism
Introduction The rise of the populist radical-right parties (PRRP) stands out as one of the most significant developments in Western democracies over the past two decades. This trend, seen as a challenging sign within democracy but against liberal democracy, highlights the mounting pressure faced by Western political regimes from forces and groups that diverge from the dominant political currents of the last two decades. More specifically, one of the trends in various regions of the EU is the fact that voters, disillusioned by traditional (EU) politics, are turning towards populist and extreme parties both on the left and the right. In this respect, the current research aims to address the question: What were the causes and underlying factors contributing to the rise of radical right parties to power in Europe over the last two decades?Literature Review In Populist Radical Right Parties in Europe, Cas Mudde (2007) delved into the ideology of PRRPs. He identifies three core tenets, namely nationalism, authoritarianism, and populism, contending that PRRPs are not passive entities; rather, they are engaged in actively shaping their destiny within contemporary Western societies. In the article “Economic Insecurity and Demand of Populism in Europe,” Guiso et al. (2022) relied on the approach based on demand of populism to argue that market as well as government inefficiencies in providing security have eroded citizen trust in traditional political parties and institutions. The escalating threats of immigration and globalization have further heightened desperation and fear, contributing to the intensified demand for populist policies. Guiso et al. (2022) explain how this dual crisis, reflected in economic insecurity, systematically influences the demand for populism. In “Conditions Favouring Parties of the Extreme Right in Western Europe,” Jackman and Volpert (2017) conducted a comprehensive examination of systemic conditions influencing the electoral success of extreme right-wing parties in 16 Western European countries between 1970 and 1990. They concluded that factors such as the electoral system, party structure, and higher unemployment rates created a conducive environment for the emergence of such political movements. In addition, Dehshiri and Ghasemi (2015), in their article titled “Fourfold Crises and the Rise of the Radical Right in Europe,” posit that the four crises (i.e., resource distribution, representation, identity, and immigration) played an undeniable role in shaping the radical right movement in Europe.The review of the literature shows different vantage points used to examine the causes, contexts, and consequences of the rise of radical right parties to power. There is a focus on particular aspects such as the electoral system, party structure, identity, and immigration. The novelty of the present research lies in its comprehensive approach based on supply and demand of populism, which explores a combination of socio-economic and political motivations and variables that impact the rise of radical right parties in European countries.Materials and Methods The present research used the supply and demand of populism as the framework to conduct a bottom-up and top-down analysis of the rise of radical right parties in Europe during 2008–2018.Results and Discussion Using the supply and demand of populism, the research can shed light on different dimensions of the rise of PRRPs in Europe during 2008–2018. On the demand side of populism, the ineffectiveness of governments in managing the financial crisis—often marked by cost reduction, tax increases, and rising unemployment—created the fertile ground for populist tendencies, including anti-immigrant sentiment, xenophobia, Euroscepticism, and nationalism. Meanwhile, the influx of immigrants into Europe, coupled with the adoption of multiculturalism in sociocultural spheres and globalization in the economic realm, could have contributed to the emergence and resurgence of radical right parties. On the supply side of populism, institutional mechanisms and political strategies (e.g., the nature of the electoral system, party ideologies, organizational structures of parties, and party leadership), alongside the influence of messages, rhetoric, and media propaganda, further laid the ground for the rise of radical right parties to power.Conclusion Relying on the supply and demand of populism as the framework, the present research demonstrated that economic and sociocultural demands and dissatisfactions on the demand side (bottom-up approach), coupled with the political and institutional strategies and mechanisms employed by populist statesmen and parties on the supply side of populism (top-down approach), prompted European voters to turn towards radical right leaders and parties. These conditions could foster the political mobilization of citizens by these parties, ultimately resulting in their rise to power, particularly between 2008 and 2018. Following the disorders such as the 2008 economic crisis, the 2014 terrorist crisis, the immigration crisis after 2015, and the ensuing sociocultural dissatisfaction, populist parties and leaders capitalized on the political opportunities available in the populism market, emerging as key players in the political arena. Concerning the supply of populism, radical right parties successfully provided the narratives necessary for political mobilization around shared concerns. They attracted the majority of votes by leveraging legal and institutional mechanisms (such as elections, media, and the unique leadership capabilities), ultimately securing political power.
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