بررسی نقش مسکن پایدار بر امنیت اجتماعی در شهرها، مطالعه موردی شهر نوشهر (مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)
درجه علمی: نشریه علمی (وزارت علوم)
آرشیو
چکیده
موضوع مطالعات امنیت در مسکن مهم ترین موارد و معیارهای سنجش کیفیت در شهرها است و امنیت به عنوان یکی شاخص های اصلی کیفیت موردتوجه صاحب نظران بوده است. پژوهش حاضر از نظر نوع تحقیق کاربردی و از نظر ماهیت توصیفی و تحلیلی، روش گردآوری اطلاعات کتابخانه ای و میدانی(مشاهده و پرسش نامه) و جامعه آماری تحقیق حاضر کلیه خانوارهای شهر نوشهر می باشد. حجم نمونه بر اساس فرمول کوکران 384 نفر مشخص گردید. روایی متغیرهای تحقیق توسط اساتید دانشگاهی تأیید گردید. و پایایی پرسش نامه با استفاده از آلفای کرونباخ 75/0 محاسبه شده است. روش تجزیه وتحلیل اطلاعات با استفاده از آمار توصیفی(میانگین و توزیع فراوانی) و آماری استنباطی در محیط نرم افزار لیزرال صورت گرفته است. نتایج حاصل از تحقیق نشان داد که بین شاخص های امنیت اجتماعی بر مسکن پایدار تأثیر مثبت و معناداری دارد. همچنین نتایج نشان دهنده آن بود که از بین شاخص ها، مسکن پایدار بر روی شاخص امنیت مالی دارای بیشترین تأثیر بوده به گونه ای که 4/70 درصد از واریانس متغیر امنیت مالی توسط متغیر مسکن پایدار مورد بررسی قرار می گیرد و این امر با مسکن به عنوان بستر سوداگری و کالای تجاری به صورت تجمیعی و «نگران» کننده به دلیل افزایش تسهیلات دریافتی مسکن و مازاد عرضه کمتر در واحدهای مسکونی ارزان قیمت و متوسط، پایداری اجتماعی مسکن را برای اقشار انبوه جامعه تحت تأثیر قرار دهد، اما در صورت وقوع سناریوهای بازگشت به شرایط پیش از برجام یا تشدید تحریم ها، افزوده شدن تقاضای سفته بازی و سرمایه ای به تقاضای مصرفی، افزایش تورم انتظاری در جامعه و افزایش قیمت درخواستی توسط عرضه کنندگان می تواند باعث افزایش قیمت مسکن حتی فراتر از سطح تورم عمومی در جامعه شود.Investigating the role of sustainable housing on social security in cities (Nowshahr case study)
Extended IntroductionHousing is one of the main human needs, which is known as the basic biological need for humans. Sustainable housing refers to a wide range of opportunities to improve economic development, environmental protection, quality of life and social equality. It requires a detailed and comprehensive look to be able to address the various dimensions of security, in fact, as the discovery of the hidden connections between those dimensions at different levels. Among the effective factors in the security of every city are urban spaces and places, therefore, due to the increase of social anomalies in today's societies, it is necessary to examine social security and factors affecting it. Urban areas are a place to live and to know the sense of belonging to the place of its residents is one of the necessities of maintaining the quantity and quality of this population. For this reason, social security is considered as one of the development indicators, based on which the level of development of urban housing and even countries is evaluated. Therefore, in order to solve the problems of feeling insecure in urban housing and achieving sustainable urban development, examining the components of well-being, The comfort and safety of citizens, which is one of the basic goals of urban planning. Urban insecurity in different fields includes that part of anomalies that have emerged as a result of the emergence of urbanization and the social problems caused by them and cause structural and functional damage in the urban society at different levels. Results The preliminary data from the studied area shows that the building materials used in the construction are often of very low quality and due to the lack of attention to the executive instructions considering that the city of Nowshahr is exposed to many natural disasters such as floods and especially earthquakes. Housing is one of the important indicators to maintain the safety of the residents of the study area. For the reasons that were mentioned, it seems necessary to examine the issue of housing sustainability due to its importance and impact on life-financial security, etc. In other words, the need to live in a safe environment in the study area is very important, which requires adaptation and interaction with the environment for the well-being of citizens, both mentally and objectively, according to the above-mentioned contents of this research. is to examine the set of factors that cause the stability of housing in social security in the study area MethodologyThe current research is applied in terms of type and descriptive-analytical in terms of method. Two library and field methods have been used to collect the required information. The statistical population of the research is Nowshahr city, which was determined based on Cochran's formula with an error of 0.05% of 384 questionnaires. A simple random method was used to distribute the questionnaire. It has been used to propose indicators using internal and external studies. The validity of the questionnaire items has been confirmed by the opinion of a number of academic researchers and its reliability has been calculated using Cronbach's alpha test to the extent of 0.75. In the analysis of the data obtained from the questionnaire, structural equations of laser (SEM) have been used. In fact, structural equation model is the Persian translation of Structural Equation Model, which is also called SEM for short. This method is a special causal structure between a set of latent variables and observable variables. Using the structural equation modeling method, the relationships between hidden variables can be investigated, as well as the measurement items of each hidden variable with the relevant variable. Lisrel software is used to perform the calculations of this method. Results and discussionThe findings of the research show that among the 384 respondents, 15% are in the age group of 30-40 and 30% are married, gender is 79%, place of birth is 78%, and employment is 70.24% of the total respondents in this research, the largest age range is related to the age group of 33 up to 43 years old with 32.45% and the lowest age group is 20 to 35 years old with 0.8%; Also, 17.5% were in the age group of 35 to 40 years old, 24.3% were between 45 to 55 years old, and 19.9% were over 65 years old. One of the presuppositions of using structural equation modeling using Lisrel software is the normality of the data. Therefore, in this research, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was used to check the normality of the research data. In conducting factor analysis, one must first ensure the appropriateness of the desired data for analysis (sample size and relationship between variables). For this purpose, KMO indices and Bartlett's test are used to verify the adequacy of the sample size. If the value of the KMO index is less than 0.6, the results of the factor analysis are not suitable for the data in question. ConclusionThe purpose of this research was to study the role of sustainable urban housing in social security, and the results showed the positive impact of dimensions on household social security. The results of the descriptive findings show that 10 important factors play a role in the extreme fluctuations in housing prices in Nowshahr, which include things such as: lack of access to cheap housing for citizens, fluctuations in housing prices and household savings, construction fluctuations Housing, the role-creation of municipalities and the increase in housing prices, the role of builders in housing market fluctuations, the role of intermediaries and sellers in the housing market, income inequality and high housing prices, land prices and their effect on housing price fluctuations, the presence of brokers in the housing market. and the increase in housing prices and the lack of firm rules in determining housing prices and the prevalence of speculation FundingThere is no funding support. Authors’ Contribution Authors contributed equally to the conceptualization and writing of the article. All of the authors approved thecontent of the manuscript and agreed on all aspects of the work declaration of competing interest none. Conflict of Interest Authors declared no conflict of interest.AcknowledgmentsWe are grateful to all the scientific consultants of this paper.
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