ارزیابی شاخص های اجتماعی شهر های کوچک با مرتبه جمعیتی آن ها، مطالعه موردی: نظام شهری استان ایلام (مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)
درجه علمی: نشریه علمی (وزارت علوم)
آرشیو
چکیده
شناخت و سنجش شاخص های اجتماعی مهم و مؤثر در پایداری شهرها، مرحله ای فراتر از توسعه پایدار شهری و از مهم ترین اقدامات برنامه ریزان به شمار می رود. این پژوهش باهدف سنجش میزان پایداری اجتماعی 21 نقطه شهری استان ایلام با استفاده از 51 شاخص اجتماعی با استفاده از روش اولویت بندی بر اساس مشابهت به راه حل ایده آل TOPSIS، تحلیل خوشه ای و بررسی رابطه ضریب همبستگی اسپیرمن بین میزان پایداری شهرها و اندازه جمعیت آن ها انجام گرفته است. روش انجام این پژوهش توصیفی– تحلیلی و شیوه گردآوری اطلاعات آن کتابخانه ای است. سپس با استفاده از نرم افزار SPSS و کاربرد روش اولویت بندی بر اساس مشابهت به راه حل بهینه، تاپسیس، داده های گردآوری شده تجزیه وتحلیل شده و با استفاده از روش تحلیل خوشه ای شهرهای استان ایلام در گروه پایدار، نیمه پایدار، نیمه ناپایدار و ناپایدار سطح بندی شده است. نتایج تحقیق نشان می دهد فقط شهر توحید، در سطح اول یا پایدار، 4 شهر میمه، لومار، سراب باغ و بدره در سطح دوم یا نیمه پایدار،10 نقطه شهری؛ سرابله، موسیان، صالح آباد، دلگشا، چوار، آسمان آباد، مورموری، پهله، دره شهر و زرنه در سطح سوم یا نیمه ناپایدار، 6 نقطه شهری ارکواز ملکشاهی، آبدانان، مهران، ایلام، ایوان و دهلران در سطح چهارم یا ناپایدار قرارگرفته است. بررسی میزان ارتباط میان اندازه جمعیت و میزان پایداری شهرهای استان ایلام با استفاده از ضریب اسپیرمن رو نشان می دهد مقدار 782/0- بیانگر وجود ارتباط قوی و معکوس میان رتبه جمعیت شهرها و رتبه پایداری آن ها است و نشان می دهد با افزایش جمعیت شهرها میزان پایداری آن ها کاسته می شود و شهرهای کوچک تر از پایداری بیشتری برخوردارند.Evaluation of social indicators of small cities with their demographic rank: a case study of the urban system of Ilam province
Introduction
This research aims to measure and evaluate the social sustainability of the cities of Ilam province emphasizing the sustainability of small cities, using 51 social sustainability indicators, including 8 components: the literacy rate of city residents, the durability and strength of the family, the availability of suitable housing, the quality of population dynamics, access to Healthcare indicators, access to educational indicators, equal access to cultural spaces and access to green and recreational spaces in 21 cities of Ilam province. The main aim of this research is to improve the quality of life for the residents of these cities and to achieve equality and justice; both intra-generational and intergenerational to realize sustainable social development. The main question of this research is what levels of development are the cities of Ilam province in terms of social sustainability? And is there a relationship between the size of the population of cities and their level of social sustainability? In other words, do the small cities of this province have a better social sustainability than other middle cities in the province from the perspective of social indicators?
Methodology
This research, in order to measure the social sustainability of 21 cities of Ilam province, based on the data of the 1395 census, 51 indicators related to social stability, including 4 indicators of literacy status, 4 indicators of family consolidation status, 11 indicators of access to health facilities and equipment - Medical, 7 indicators of access to educational facilities, 3 indicators of access to cultural-religious facilities, 22 indicators of access to social economic activity (access to suitable housing, employment and economic activity) were selected, then negative indicators were reversed and turned into positive indicators. It was evaluated and analyzed using SPSS software and the application of TOPSIS technique.
Then, to determine the relationship between the size of the population of the cities and their sustainability rating, the cities of the province were ranked and classified using cluster analysis, and their results were displayed in the form of maps using Arc GIS. Then, using Spearman's correlation coefficient, the relationship between population rank and sustainability rank of cities was investigated and analyzed. Spearman’s correlation test is a non-parametric synonym of Pearson's correlation coefficient. Spearman's correlation coefficient shows how much the dependent variable changes with the increase or decrease of the independent variable?
Results and discussion
The results of cluster analysis about the population of the cities of Ilam province show that Ilam city as a medium city with (166,760 people) at the first population level, four cities of Dehlran (30,385 people), Ivan (29,351 people), Abdanan (22,420 people) and Darreh Shahr (20,371) in the second population level, three cities of Mehran (14,309), Arqavaz Malekshahi (12,333) and Sarableh (10,869) in the third population level and thirteen urban points Asman Abad (5,886), Chavar (5,753), Badre (4,215), Pahle (4028), Murmori (3518), Zarne (3113), Lomar (2655), Mimeh (2628), Sarab Bagh (2557), Musian (2480), Delgosha (2201), Saleh Abad (1707) and Towheed (1475) They are at the fourth level of population.
The results show; The only urban point of Towheed, on the first stable level, 4 cities of Mimeh, Lomar, Sarab Bagh and Badreh on the second or semi-stable level, 10 urban points; Sarablah, Musian, Saleh Abad, Delgosha, Chavar, Asman Abad, Murmuri, Pahle, Dareh Shahr and Zarneh are in the third or semi-unstable level and 6 urban points of Arquaz Malekshahi, Abdanan, Mehran, Ilam, Ivan and Dehlran are in the fourth or unstable level.
The results of this research using the TOPSIS technique and cluster analysis to determine the level of social sustainability in 21 urban areas of Ilam province based on the statistics of 2015 using 51 social sustainability indicators show; The only urban point of Towheed, on the first or stable level, 4 cities of Mimeh, Lomar, Sarab Bagh and Badreh on the second or semi-stable level, 10 urban points; Sarablah, Musian, Saleh Abad, Delgosha, Chavar, Asman Abad, Murmuri, Pahle, Dareh Shahr and Zarneh are on the third or semi-unstable level, 6 urban points of Arquaz Malekshahi, Abdanan, Mehran, Ilam, Ivan and Dehlran are on the fourth or unstable level..
Also, the analysis of the population of the cities of the province using cluster analysis in four levels shows that the city of Ilam is an intermediate city with (166,760 people) in the first population level, four cities of Dehlran (30,385 people), Ivan (29,351 people), Abdanan (22,420 people) ) and Dareh Shahr (20,371) at the second population level, three cities of Mehran (14,309), Arquaz Malekshahi (12,333) and Sarablah (10,869) at the third population level and thirteen urban points Asman Abad (5,886), Chavar (5,753), Badre (4215), Pahle (4028), Murmori (3518), Zarne (3113), Lomar (2655), Mimeh (2628), Sarab Bagh (2557), Musian (2480), Delgosha (2201), Saleh Abad (1707) and Tawhid (1475) are in the fourth demographic level.
Conclusion
The results of Spearman's correlation coefficient calculations to check the correlation between the population size and the sustainability of the cities of Ilam province by using the Spearman's coefficient show the value of -0.782, indicating the existence of a strong and inverse relationship between the city's population rank and the sustainability rank. it is them This situation shows that with the increase in the population of the cities, their stability decreases and on the contrary, and for this reason, small cities have more stability. In other words, cities with smaller (smaller) population size have higher social stability, which is a direct result of governments to create educational, health and medical services and other social indicators in these cities, and there is equality and proportionality between the population of cities with higher population and social stability indicators. is not observed; Therefore, any planning in the field of improving the social sustainability indicators of the cities of Ilam province must necessarily start from the cities with higher population such as Ilam, Dehlran, Abdanan, Mehran, Ivan, and Arquaz Malekshahi.
Funding
There is no funding support.
Authors’ Contribution
Authors contributed equally to the conceptualization and writing of the article. All of the authors approved thecontent of the manuscript and agreed on all aspects of the work declaration of competing interest none.
Conflict of Interest
Authors declared no conflict of interest.
Acknowledgments
We are grateful to all the scientific consultants of this paper.
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