احسان رسولی نژاد

احسان رسولی نژاد

مطالب
ترتیب بر اساس: جدیدترینپربازدیدترین

فیلترهای جستجو: فیلتری انتخاب نشده است.
نمایش ۲۱ تا ۲۷ مورد از کل ۲۷ مورد.
۲۱.

Economic Resilience in Challenging Times: A Crossroads of Russia's Experience and Prospects for Iran(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Economic Resilience economic resistance Western sanctions SWOT analysis Iran Russia

حوزه‌های تخصصی:
تعداد بازدید : ۲۵۳ تعداد دانلود : ۱۸۲
significance, as they have grappled with enduring economic and political sanctions imposed by Western powers. Over time, both Iran and Russia have confronted a series of sanctions targeting their economic and financial sectors. In response to the adverse effects of these sanctions, both nations have embraced a strategy of 'resistance.' Experts contend that financial and economic sanctions induce substantial shifts in a country's macroeconomic landscape, prompting the adoption of distinct policies and strategic orientations. Against this backdrop, this research undertakes a comprehensive examination and analysis of the discourses surrounding economic resistance and resilient economies in Iran and the Russian Federation, with a focus on elucidating their commonalities and disparities. The research methodology employed in this study is the SWOT analysis method. Findings reveal that both Iran and Russia, while contending with Western sanctions, have pursued the implementation of resilient economy and economic resistance strategies, respectively. Iran's resilient economy signifies a transition towards long-term economic resilience rooted in religious principles. Conversely, Russia's economic resistance constitutes a short-term response to sanctions driven by political considerations".
۲۲.

The Impact of Coronavirus on Globalization: Evidence from Different Regions in Asia(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Asian Regions COVID-19 Generalized Method of Moments Globalization Panel Data

حوزه‌های تخصصی:
تعداد بازدید : ۲۳۳ تعداد دانلود : ۲۰۷
It is generally accepted that COVID-19 is one of the most serious challenges the countries have faced since the end of World War II. The coronavirus, as an external shock has reshaped economic structures and lowered integration among countries. The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the impacts of COVID-19 on the globalization level of countries, which were classified into five Asian regions based on the United Nations geoscheme. To this end, an econometric method of estimation is employed based on the quarterly data pertaining to the study’s variables from 2010 to 2020. Results indicate that the pandemic has had a more severe negative impact on the globalization level of more developed countries in Asia, whereas it has had a smaller negative impact on less developed regions, such as those located in Central Asia. In this regard, Japan and China can be named as two economies in which the Coronavirus has had a greater negative impact on the level of globalization. It can be highlighted that the pandemic and its related consequences, such as protectionism (trade and capital de-liberalism) and travel restrictions are not considered as potential threats for all Asian countries. What constitutes a threat for various countries depends on the country’s economic nature, political stability, economic size, and globalization nature. Therefore, for globalization recovery, no unique pattern could be applied to all Asian countries, each having to determine useful practical policies based on its  economic mechanism and interactions with respect to both regional and global variables. 
۲۳.

Determinants of the intention of Iranian people to accept the changes of social welfare under the imposed sanctions(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Beck’s Theory of Risk Society economic sanction Iran Sanctions Acceptance Model Social Welfare

حوزه‌های تخصصی:
تعداد بازدید : ۲۱۱ تعداد دانلود : ۲۲۲
This research seeks to answer the question “what factors affect Iranian people’s adaptation to the changes in their social welfare under the imposed sanctions?” To this end, a survey methodology based on two theories of Sanctions Acceptance Model (SAM) and Ulrich Beck’s theory of risk society is employed to analyze the opinions of 135 respondents who are experts in the fields of economic sciences, economic resistance, economic development, and sociology of development. The results reveal that government organizations and institutions play a major role in assisting people in their adaptation to the conditions resultant from the sanctions. In the next step, the context of the sanctions was addressed in relation to the characteristics of the imposed sanctions. These characteristics, namely the target of the sanctions, the duration of the sanctions, the depth of the impact of the sanctions, threat or imposition of sanctions, and the unilateral or multilateral nature of sanctions play a major role in Iranian people’s level of acceptance regarding the changes in their social welfare. Individuals are another important group whose mentalities and perceptions are affected by the imposed sanctions.
۲۴.

بازاندیشی تاب آوری اقتصادی روسیه در برابر تحریم های غرب: الگو و درس هایی برای اقتصاد ایران(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: تحریم سیاست ضدتحریمی تاب آوری اقتصادی روسیه ایران

حوزه‌های تخصصی:
تعداد بازدید : ۱۹۶ تعداد دانلود : ۱۳۹
روسیه در سال های اخیر، به ویژه پس از بحران اوکراین در سال 2014 با چالش تحریم اقتصادی روبه رو بوده است. این کشور برای بی اثرکردن تحریم ها اقدام های مختلفی انجام داده است، اما برای رویارویی با تحریم می تواند از دیگر الگوهای اقتصادی نیز بهره برداری کند. این پرسش مطرح است که تاب آوری اقتصادی روسیه و تجربه این کشور در برابر تحریم های غربی چه درس هایی برای ایران دارد؟ با روش پژوهش کیفی و با مطالعه مقاله ها و منابع کتابخانه ای، داده های پژوهش را تجزیه و تحلیل می کنیم. با درنظرداشتن مفهوم تحریم اقتصادی و همچنین چارچوب های کلی این مفهوم، فرض بر این است که روسیه برای رویارویی با تحریم های غربی از سیاست های جانشینی واردات و چرخش به شرق بهره گرفته است. الگوی «ساخت چین- 2025» نیز می تواند برای روسیه کارآمد باشد. ایران نیز برای ایجاد اقتصاد قوی ضدتحریمی به سیاستی بلندمدت نیاز دارد که تجربه روسیه و همچنین سیاست «ساخت چین-2025» می تواند الگویی برای اقتصاد ایران باشد. در این نوشتار مشخص می شود که سیاست «ساخت چین-2025» هم به شکل اصولی تر سیاست جانشینی واردات را توسعه می دهد و هم عرصه را برای فناوری های پیشرفته و روزآمد هموار می کند. ساختار اقتصاد ایران و روسیه با وجود تفاوت های ساختاری از جهت هایی مانند نفتی بودن، دولتی بودن، زیر تحریم بودن، گرایش به تنوع بخشی و دیوان سالاری پیچیده شباهت هایی با یکدیگر دارند. بنابراین چنین الگویی می تواند در اقتصاد ایران هم استفاده شود که دچار چالش تحریم های غرب در اندازه و شدت بیشتر است.
۲۵.

The Effects of Western Sanctions on Iranian and Russian Energy Economics: Evidence from Scenario Planning Method(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Economic Resiliency Energy Sector Financial system Sanctions Scenario Planning

حوزه‌های تخصصی:
تعداد بازدید : ۱۹۵ تعداد دانلود : ۱۴۸
Economic sanctions, involving trade restrictions imposed by one country or a group of countries against another, come in various forms, such as tariffs, trade barriers, and import/export restrictions. In recent times, Iran and Russia have become targets of diverse economic sanctions imposed by the Western Bloc. Given that both countries heavily rely on their energy sectors as the bedrock of their economies, this study focuses on assessing the impact of Western sanctions on Iran and Russia's energy industries. Employing the Futurology method (Scenario planning), the research examines the effects of Western sanctions on the energy sectors of Iran and Russia, and explores their respective responses to mitigate these adverse consequences. The findings highlight four potential scenarios for the future of the Iranian and Russian energy sectors, based on two megatrends of sanctions and geopolitical tensions. Among these scenarios, the "Ideal scenario" emerges as the most favorable outcome, while the "Austerity scenario" poses the greatest challenges. Despite the short-term efficacy of these strategies, the study underscores heightened long-term investment risks in both nations. Consequently, foreign investors' participation in the oil and gas sectors of Iran and Russia is expected to decline.
۲۷.

Studying the Impact of Oil Shocks on the Sustainable Development of Petroleum Exporting Countries(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Sustainable Development oil shock Resources curse Dutch disease VAR Model

حوزه‌های تخصصی:
تعداد بازدید : ۱۴۲ تعداد دانلود : ۸۴
The oil price fluctuations are a debatable issue among scholars. Understanding the appropriate utilization of underground resources is paramount, considering their abundance and historical significance as a crucial source of financial income for Iran. However, oil shocks pose challenges to petroleum exporting nations due to fluctuating oil prices and their reliance on the global economy. This study employs Econometrics models and auto-regression analysis to investigate whether oil shocks significantly affect sustainable development in OPEC countries during 2000-2019. Findings reveal a 'resource curse' affecting the analyzed nations, with rising oil prices having no substantial impact on their gross domestic product. Furthermore, increased oil revenues drive inflation, impeding urbanization and exacerbating inequality (Gini coefficient), indicative of the 'Dutch disease phenomenon. In conclusion, policymakers should prioritize the economy's size and reduce investment risks by formulating attainable long-term plans concentrated on sustainable development indicators, aiming for more stable progress. Oil shocks notably influence the sustainable development of petroleum-exporting countries.

پالایش نتایج جستجو

تعداد نتایج در یک صفحه:

درجه علمی

مجله

سال

حوزه تخصصی

زبان