بررسی قیمت و بازارمسکن درشهر آباده (مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)
درجه علمی: نشریه علمی (وزارت علوم)
آرشیو
چکیده
پژوهش حاضر به بررسی و تحلیل وضعیت گرانی در بازار مسکن شهر آباده در راستای مسکن مطلوب می پردازد. روش پژوهش از نظر هدف کاربردی و از لحاظ روش شناسی و ماهیت، توصیفی -تحلیلی می باشد. برای گردآوری اطلاعات از روش کتابخانه ای و پیمایش میدانی استفاده شده است. جامعه آماری این پژوهش شامل متخصصین و کارشناسان حوزه شهری و مسکن می باشد که با استفاده از تکنیک دلفی 25 از آن ها به عنوان حجم نمونه انتخاب شدند. برای تجزیه و تحلیل داده های پژوهش از آزمون های آماری تی تک نمونه ای در قالب نرم افزارspss و همچنین از تکنیک های چندمعیاره DEMATEL استفاده شده است. نتایج آزمون تی تک نمونه ای نشانی دهد که میزان میانگین تمامی شاخص های قیمت مسکن از حد مبنا (3) بالاتر است. به گونه ای که این معیارها، با میانگین 3/33 بیشترین تأثیر را بر گرانی مسکن شهر آباده داشته اند. ننایج تکنیک SWARA حاکی از آن است از بین شاخص های مؤثر بر گرانی مسکن شهر آباده، شاخص اقتصادی و مالی با وزن نهائی 0/278 در رتبه اول، شاخص اداری و مدیریتی با وزن0/231 در رتبه دوم، شاخص کالبدی-فضایی با وزن 193/0 در رتبه سوم، شاخص دسترسی و فاصله با وزن 0/161 در رتبه چهارم و نهایتاً شاخص اجتماعی با وزن نهایی 0/136 در رتبه پنجم قرار گرفت. نتایج تکنیک DEMATEL نشان می دهد از میان شاخص های مؤثر بر گرانی مسکن در شهر آباده، معیار اقتصادی و مالی با مقدار 18/655 بیشترین تعامل و معیار کالبدی-فضایی با مقدار 18/589 کمترین تعامل، معیار اقتصادی و مالی با مقدار1/539 مؤثّرترین عامل و معیار اجتماعی با مقدار 1/541- تأثیرپذیرترین عامل هستند. با توجه به نتایج حاصل شده، بایستی برنامه ریزی لازم در جهت کنترل قیمت مسکن در شهر آباده به خصوص در بحث اقتصادی و مدیریتی صورت گیرد تا تمامی گروه های جامعه بتوانند مسکن مطلوب و مورد نیاز خود را تأمین کنند.Investigating the price and housing market in Abadeh
Extended Abstract IntroductionIn our country, like other developing countries, in the past few decades, the increasing concentration of the population in the cities has faced these cities with many problems, including the provision of suitable housing, and as a result, Instability in cities and surrounding areas as well (Azizi, 2014: 26). The economic changes of the country and the impact of the housing sector have caused housing to become a ubiquitous problem, of course, with varying degrees of intensity and weakness. It provides a solution (Warshi, 1380 : 186).The ups and downs of the land market and the irregular increase in house prices in Fars province have caused the real estate buying and selling market in the northernmost city of Fars, namely Abadah, to face more stagnation, so that most of the real estate consultants are either closing down or Their business is depressed. The housing market has faced a severe recession since about five years ago, after the price increase, and the decrease in the purchasing power of the applicants led to a sharp decrease in the demand in the housing market and an increase in the mortgage and rental market. MethodologyThe method of the present research is descriptive and analytical in terms of its purpose and in terms of its nature and descriptive method. Library method (books, articles, documents, etc.) and field survey (questionnaire) were used to collect information. The statistical population of the research is specialists and experts in the field of urban and housing, 25 of them were selected as the sample size using the two-stage Delphi technique.The validity of the questionnaire made by the researcher was confirmed by the experts of the field and university professors, and the reliability of the research data was calculated using Cronbach's alpha test of /726. The research data were analyzed using statistical tests in the form of spss software as well as multi-criteria techniques. In this context, first through theoretical research studies, the research indicators were extracted and localized and set up in the form of a questionnaire. In the next step, the questionnaire was distributed and completed among the experts in the studied area and the data was in the form of software. SPSS software was entered and analyzed using one-sample t-tests, and finally, the importance, weight, and rank of each index were determined using DEMATEL and SWARA multi-criteria techniques. Results and DiscussionAccording to the one-sample t-tests, the current status of the effective criteria on the housing price of Abadeh city from the average base level (3) was discussed.The results show that the current situation of housing prices in all indicators is not in a favorable situation. In other words, the average value of all indicators is higher than the base limit (3). In such a way that housing price criteria with an average of 3.33 have had the greatest impact on the housing price of Abadeh city. Among the indicators affecting the price of housing in Shahr Abadeh, the economic and financial index with a final weight of 0.278 ranks first, the administrative and management index with a weight of 0.231 ranks second, and the physical-spatial index with a weight of 0.193 ranks first. Thirdly, accessibility and distance index with a weight of 0.161 ranked fourth and finally social index ranked fifth with a final weight of 0.136. Among the indicators affecting housing prices in Abadeh city, the economic and financial criterion with the value of 18.655 has the most interaction and the physical-spatial criterion with the value of 18.589 has the least interaction, the economic and financial criterion with the value of 1.539 is the most influential factor and Social criterion with the value of 1.541 is the most influential factor.Figure number (4) shows how the impact and interaction of effective criteria on housing prices in Abadeh city. ConclusionThe sick economy of developing countries, including Iran, and the problem of inflation in these societies, have turned investment in land into one of the most profitable businesses. It is obvious that these investors and land applicants, their scope of demand is more in areas where land and housing prices are growing and inflation is high. In this regard, the present research investigates and evaluates the housing market in Abadeh city in the direction of desirable housing.In relation to the first question of the research, is Abadeh facing high housing prices? It is possible to refer to the results of the one-sample t-test that the results of the one-sample t-test show that the current situation of housing prices in all indicators is beyond the optimal level.In other words, the average value of all indicators is higher than the base limit (3). In such a way that the housing price criteria with an average of 3.33 have had the greatest impact on the housing price of Abadeh city. The second question of the research, what factors have had an effect on the price increase in the city of Abadeh? It can be mentioned the results of Swara and Dimtel technique that the results of SWARA technique indicate that among the indicators affecting the housing price of Abadeh city, the economic and financial index with a final weight of 0.278 is in the first place, and the administrative and management index with a weight of 0.231 in the second place, physical-spatial index with a weight of 0.193 in the third place, access and distance index with a weight of 0.161 in the fourth place and finally social index with a final weight of 0.136 in the fifth place.The results of the DEMATEL technique show that among the indicators affecting housing prices in Abadeh city, the economic and financial criterion with a value of 18.655 has the highest interaction and the physical-spatial criterion with a value of 18.589 has the lowest interaction. The value of 1.539 is the most influential factor and the social criterion with the value of -1.541 is the most influential factor. FundingThere is no funding support. Authors’ ContributionAll of the authors approved the content ofthe manuscript and agreed on all aspects ofthe work. Conflict of InterestAuthors declared no conflict of interest. AcknowledgmentsWe are grateful to all the scientificconsultants of this paper.
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