PSO

Geographic information and analysis provide a wide range of data and techniques to monitor and manage natural resources. As an important case, in arid and semi-arid areas, water management is critical for both local governance and citizens. As a result, the estimation of water potential brought by snowmelt runoff and rainfalls seems to be very useful and important for these areas. Hydrological modeling needs vast knowledge about integrating all relating parameters. In this work, different data sources including the remote sensing observations, meteorological and geological data are integrated to supply spatially detailed inputs for Snowmelt Runoff Modeling in a watershed, located in Simin-Dasht basin in the northeast of Tehran, Iran. Because of high temporal frequency and suitable spatial coverage, MODIS optical images have been chosen to map snow cover. The MODIS 8-day snow map product with spatial resolution of 500m (MOD10A2.5) is used to compute the snow cover area. In addition, during the snowmelt period in 2006-2007, archived meteorological and geological data are used to provide snow runoff modeling (SRM) parameters and variables. Also Landsat ETM+ images with better spatial resolution (30m) and less temporal coverage (16 days) are used in 2007 snowmelt period to compare the model accuracy with same conditions. Evaluation of the runoff outputs in both of models reveals good agreement with real data that prove SRM capability in modeling basin’s daily and weekly runoff. Model accuracy shows better satisfactory of snow runoff modeling results within snow cover area derived from Landsat ETM+ data and MODIS snow product was less accurate in modeling. Although using MODIS model accuracy was less, but still it is recommended due to less further process and providing better temporal coverage during snowfall and snowmelt season. Future works in this criterion could be concentrated on SRM forecast improvement using fusion with other measurements or combining physical models.

Technical analysis is constituted as an approach in the market analysis which is based on the study of pricing behavior and shares size in the past and price determination and its procedure in the future. Algorithmic transactions are growing rapidly in order to automate business strategies, given the arrival of computer-based technologies and the rapid processing of bulky information. Trading systems combine input information and ultimately identify the time of purchase and sale by forming one signal. In this paper, the training system is a kind of fuzzy inference system that combines fuzzified RSI and SO signals from technical analysis. The system’s trade rules database (selling, buying, and holding) would be calculated based on an optimization process using PSO. This optimization process should be repeated at certain intervals to keep the system up to date. This process is called the corrective property of systems. The findings on the overall index in the period 2001/3/21-2019/3/20 indicate that the system having optimized training on training data has an average daily return of /0027, risk-taking of /0065 and the daily sharp ratio of /42. Concerning the index of return and sharp ratio, the findings reveal that the system outperforms the signals and the market performance.