احسان رسولی نژاد

احسان رسولی نژاد

مطالب
ترتیب بر اساس: جدیدترینپربازدیدترین

فیلترهای جستجو: فیلتری انتخاب نشده است.
نمایش ۲۱ تا ۲۷ مورد از کل ۲۷ مورد.
۲۱.

Economic Resilience in Challenging Times: A Crossroads of Russia's Experience and Prospects for Iran(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Economic Resilience economic resistance Western sanctions SWOT analysis Iran Russia

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تعداد بازدید : ۱۷۶ تعداد دانلود : ۱۳۰
significance, as they have grappled with enduring economic and political sanctions imposed by Western powers. Over time, both Iran and Russia have confronted a series of sanctions targeting their economic and financial sectors. In response to the adverse effects of these sanctions, both nations have embraced a strategy of 'resistance.' Experts contend that financial and economic sanctions induce substantial shifts in a country's macroeconomic landscape, prompting the adoption of distinct policies and strategic orientations. Against this backdrop, this research undertakes a comprehensive examination and analysis of the discourses surrounding economic resistance and resilient economies in Iran and the Russian Federation, with a focus on elucidating their commonalities and disparities. The research methodology employed in this study is the SWOT analysis method. Findings reveal that both Iran and Russia, while contending with Western sanctions, have pursued the implementation of resilient economy and economic resistance strategies, respectively. Iran's resilient economy signifies a transition towards long-term economic resilience rooted in religious principles. Conversely, Russia's economic resistance constitutes a short-term response to sanctions driven by political considerations".
۲۲.

Determinants of the intention of Iranian people to accept the changes of social welfare under the imposed sanctions(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Beck’s Theory of Risk Society economic sanction Iran Sanctions Acceptance Model Social Welfare

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تعداد بازدید : ۱۶۷ تعداد دانلود : ۱۸۲
This research seeks to answer the question “what factors affect Iranian people’s adaptation to the changes in their social welfare under the imposed sanctions?” To this end, a survey methodology based on two theories of Sanctions Acceptance Model (SAM) and Ulrich Beck’s theory of risk society is employed to analyze the opinions of 135 respondents who are experts in the fields of economic sciences, economic resistance, economic development, and sociology of development. The results reveal that government organizations and institutions play a major role in assisting people in their adaptation to the conditions resultant from the sanctions. In the next step, the context of the sanctions was addressed in relation to the characteristics of the imposed sanctions. These characteristics, namely the target of the sanctions, the duration of the sanctions, the depth of the impact of the sanctions, threat or imposition of sanctions, and the unilateral or multilateral nature of sanctions play a major role in Iranian people’s level of acceptance regarding the changes in their social welfare. Individuals are another important group whose mentalities and perceptions are affected by the imposed sanctions.
۲۳.

How Has Coronavirus outbreak affected Regional Energy Integration? Lessons and Recommendations for Iran(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: COVID19 Energy integration The Eurasian Economic Union South Asia Iran

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تعداد بازدید : ۱۶۷ تعداد دانلود : ۱۳۶
Making an agreement between Iran and an integrated countries bloc like Shanghai Cooperation Organization or Eurasian Economic Union to boost energy trade is considered as an efficient factor to improve multilateralism and regionalism of Iranian economy. However, the outbreak of COVID-19 has had caused serious and unprecedented consequences on globalization and regionalization. This research seeks to find out the relationship between COVID19 and regional energy integration for two cases of South Asia and the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU). To estimate the coefficients of variables, the panel data framework based on quarterly data over 2010Q1-2020Q2 is employed. The major results reveal that the COVID19 pandemic is found to be a serious challenge for regional energy integration in these two unions, particularly the integration of larger economies which are more developed and have a higher level of trade liberalization are disturbed by this pandemic. A policy implication based on the conclusions is that Iran may try to make regional energy integration with its neighbors and trading partners. However, to reduce the long-run negative impacts of pandemic, Iran and its energy trade partners should make a plan to determine types and magnitudes of negative impacts of pandemic, regulating monetary and fiscal policies to encounter with the negative influences. To the best of author’s knowledge, despite some earlier researches, there is not any existing literature focusing on how the Corona affects the economic integration. Therefore, this paper tries to fill in this literature gap.
۲۵.

بازاندیشی تاب آوری اقتصادی روسیه در برابر تحریم های غرب: الگو و درس هایی برای اقتصاد ایران(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: تحریم سیاست ضدتحریمی تاب آوری اقتصادی روسیه ایران

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تعداد بازدید : ۱۱۵ تعداد دانلود : ۹۵
روسیه در سال های اخیر، به ویژه پس از بحران اوکراین در سال 2014 با چالش تحریم اقتصادی روبه رو بوده است. این کشور برای بی اثرکردن تحریم ها اقدام های مختلفی انجام داده است، اما برای رویارویی با تحریم می تواند از دیگر الگوهای اقتصادی نیز بهره برداری کند. این پرسش مطرح است که تاب آوری اقتصادی روسیه و تجربه این کشور در برابر تحریم های غربی چه درس هایی برای ایران دارد؟ با روش پژوهش کیفی و با مطالعه مقاله ها و منابع کتابخانه ای، داده های پژوهش را تجزیه و تحلیل می کنیم. با درنظرداشتن مفهوم تحریم اقتصادی و همچنین چارچوب های کلی این مفهوم، فرض بر این است که روسیه برای رویارویی با تحریم های غربی از سیاست های جانشینی واردات و چرخش به شرق بهره گرفته است. الگوی «ساخت چین- 2025» نیز می تواند برای روسیه کارآمد باشد. ایران نیز برای ایجاد اقتصاد قوی ضدتحریمی به سیاستی بلندمدت نیاز دارد که تجربه روسیه و همچنین سیاست «ساخت چین-2025» می تواند الگویی برای اقتصاد ایران باشد. در این نوشتار مشخص می شود که سیاست «ساخت چین-2025» هم به شکل اصولی تر سیاست جانشینی واردات را توسعه می دهد و هم عرصه را برای فناوری های پیشرفته و روزآمد هموار می کند. ساختار اقتصاد ایران و روسیه با وجود تفاوت های ساختاری از جهت هایی مانند نفتی بودن، دولتی بودن، زیر تحریم بودن، گرایش به تنوع بخشی و دیوان سالاری پیچیده شباهت هایی با یکدیگر دارند. بنابراین چنین الگویی می تواند در اقتصاد ایران هم استفاده شود که دچار چالش تحریم های غرب در اندازه و شدت بیشتر است.
۲۶.

The Effects of Western Sanctions on Iranian and Russian Energy Economics: Evidence from Scenario Planning Method(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Economic Resiliency Energy Sector Financial system Sanctions Scenario Planning

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تعداد بازدید : ۱۰۷ تعداد دانلود : ۹۳
Economic sanctions, involving trade restrictions imposed by one country or a group of countries against another, come in various forms, such as tariffs, trade barriers, and import/export restrictions. In recent times, Iran and Russia have become targets of diverse economic sanctions imposed by the Western Bloc. Given that both countries heavily rely on their energy sectors as the bedrock of their economies, this study focuses on assessing the impact of Western sanctions on Iran and Russia's energy industries. Employing the Futurology method (Scenario planning), the research examines the effects of Western sanctions on the energy sectors of Iran and Russia, and explores their respective responses to mitigate these adverse consequences. The findings highlight four potential scenarios for the future of the Iranian and Russian energy sectors, based on two megatrends of sanctions and geopolitical tensions. Among these scenarios, the "Ideal scenario" emerges as the most favorable outcome, while the "Austerity scenario" poses the greatest challenges. Despite the short-term efficacy of these strategies, the study underscores heightened long-term investment risks in both nations. Consequently, foreign investors' participation in the oil and gas sectors of Iran and Russia is expected to decline.
۲۷.

Studying the Impact of Oil Shocks on the Sustainable Development of Petroleum Exporting Countries(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Sustainable Development oil shock Resources curse Dutch disease VAR Model

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تعداد بازدید : ۴۵ تعداد دانلود : ۲۷
The oil price fluctuations are a debatable issue among scholars. Understanding the appropriate utilization of underground resources is paramount, considering their abundance and historical significance as a crucial source of financial income for Iran. However, oil shocks pose challenges to petroleum exporting nations due to fluctuating oil prices and their reliance on the global economy. This study employs Econometrics models and auto-regression analysis to investigate whether oil shocks significantly affect sustainable development in OPEC countries during 2000-2019. Findings reveal a 'resource curse' affecting the analyzed nations, with rising oil prices having no substantial impact on their gross domestic product. Furthermore, increased oil revenues drive inflation, impeding urbanization and exacerbating inequality (Gini coefficient), indicative of the 'Dutch disease phenomenon. In conclusion, policymakers should prioritize the economy's size and reduce investment risks by formulating attainable long-term plans concentrated on sustainable development indicators, aiming for more stable progress. Oil shocks notably influence the sustainable development of petroleum-exporting countries.

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