بهزاد بابازاده

The United States, recognized as the leading global producer and consumer of oil, significantly influences the dynamics of the international oil market. Therefore, changes in governments and their policies in the energy sector have a significant impact on the oil market, especially for oil-exporting countries like Iran. Hence, it is imperative to conduct an analytical assessment of the implications arising from the transition of political power in the United States on the global oil market dynamics. This study examines the implications of Trump's energy policies on the global petroleum market, focusing on Iran. The research employs a qualitative, descriptive-analytical method using desk research to explore how these policies impact Iran's oil exports, market share, and geopolitical standing. Under the Trump administration, the U.S. pursued an "energy dominance" agenda characterized by increased fossil fuel production, deregulation, and a confrontational stance towards OPEC. This neo- mercantilist approach aimed to bolster U.S. energy security and economic leverage. Trump’s Key policies include expanding fossil fuel production, lifting ecological restrictions, and promoting unilateralism in the oil and gas trade. This will likely lead to a decrease in oil prices in global markets, which will, in turn, result in reduced oil revenues for Iran and put pressure on its share. Additionally, Trump's policy of regional confrontation with Iran could also impact these outcomes.