مطالب مرتبط با کلید واژه

stock price Crash risk


۱.

Predict the Stock price crash risk by using firefly algorithm and comparison with regression(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

تعداد بازدید : ۲۲۷ تعداد دانلود : ۲۵۴
Stock price crash risk is a phenomenon in which stock prices are subject to severe negative and sudden adjustments. So far, different approaches have been proposed to model and predict  the  stock price crash risk, which in most cases have been the main emphasis on the factors affecting it, and often traditional methods have been used for prediction. On the other hand, using  Meta Heuristic Algorithms, has led to a lot of research in the field of finance and accounting. Accordingly, the purpose of this research is to model the Stock price crash risk of listed companies in Tehran Stock Exchange using firefly algorithm and compare the results with multivariate regression as a traditional method. Of the companies listed on the stock exchange, 101 companies have been selected as samples. Initially, 19 independent variables were introduced into the model as input property of the particle accumulation algorithm, which was considered as a feature selection method. Finally, in each of the different criteria for calculating the risk Stock price crash risk, some optimal variables were selected, then using firefly algorithm and multivariate regression, the stock price crash risk was  predicted  and results were compared. To quantify the Stock price crash risk, three criteria for negative skewness, high fluctuations and maximum sigma have been used. Two methods of MSE and MAE have been used to compare the methods. The results show that the ability of meta-meta-heuristic methods to predict the risk Stock price crash risk is not  generally higher than the traditional method of multivariate regression, And the research hypothesis was not approved.
۲.

The Relationship between Audit Fees and Stock Price Crash Risk(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

تعداد بازدید : ۱۰۶ تعداد دانلود : ۷۹
The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between audit fees and stock price crash risk. The study period is from 2013 to 2017 and the selected sample consists of 110 companies listed on Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE). To test the hypotheses of the research, the ordinary least squares regression is used. The findings show that there is a positive and significant relationship between audit fees and stock price crash risk. In other words, for companies with higher audit fees, there is a greater risk of falling stock prices.
۳.

The Effect of Customers Concentration on Company Risks(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

تعداد بازدید : ۱۸۱ تعداد دانلود : ۹۹
The companies with major customers can supply a considerable source of cash flows by selling a large portion of their products to them. Since the lack of purchase, loss, or bankruptcy of major customers can result in a significant reduction in cash flows in the company, thus the risk is the companies with major customers is higher than other companies. Thus, the present study aimed to investigate the effect of customer concentration on company risks. For this purpose, the effect of customer concentration on three criteria of stock price crash risk, bankruptcy risk, and employment risk was studied. The research sample included 127 companies listed in the Tehran Stock Exchange during 2011-2018. Multivariate regression models with panel data were used by the random-effects method to test the research hypotheses. The research findings indicated that customer concentration has a significant positive effect on stock price crash risk, bankruptcy risk, and employment risk. In other words, stock price crash risk, bankruptcy risk, and employment risk are higher in the companies where the concentration of major customers is higher.