تأثیر محور مقاومت در تغییر راهبرد ها و توازن قدرت در منطقه غرب آسیا (2023-2011) (مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)
درجه علمی: نشریه علمی (وزارت علوم)
آرشیو
چکیده
انقلاب اسلامی ایران به عنوان یکی از رویدادهای مهم و تأثیرگذار قرن بیستم شناخته می شود، زیرا نه تنها تحولات عمیقی در سیاست داخلی ایران به وجود آورد، بلکه آرمان ها و اهداف این انقلاب تأثیرات گسترده ای در سیاست خارجی کشور و تحولات منطقه ای، به ویژه در غرب آسیا، داشته است. یکی از مهم ترین پیامدهای انقلاب اسلامی شکل گیری محور مقاومت است که به عنوان یک الگوی جدید در تعاملات سیاسی و نظامی در منطقه ظاهر شده و تأثیرات عمیق تری در تغییر معادلات قدرت و ساختارهای منطقه ای داشته است. حال برای بررسی چگونگی تأثیرگذاری محور مقاومت در منطقه غرب آسیا این پژوهش درصدد آن است تا موضوع را واکاوی کند. سؤال اصلی این است که تأثیر محور مقاومت در تغییر راهبردها و توازن قدرت در منطقه غرب آسیا (2023-2011) چه بوده است؟ فرضیه عبارت است از اینکه محور مقاومت با ایجاد اتحادهای استراتژیک و گسترش نفوذ ایران در کشورهای منطقه، به تغییر راهبردهای بازیگران فرامنطقه ای و بازتعریف توازن قدرت در غرب آسیا کمک کرده، درنتیجه، منجر به شکست راهبردهای غربی در شکل دهی و تثبیت نظم منطقه ای شده است. این پژوهش با استفاده از روش توصیفی- تحلیلی و گردآوری اسناد کتابخانه ای انجام شده است. درنهایت، نتایج نشان می دهد که محور مقاومت در هر مرحله تحول نظم منطقه ای با به چالش کشیدن نظم غربی نه تنها به گسترش نفوذ ایران و حمایت از گروه های وابسته در کشورهای مختلف کمک کرده، بلکه زمینه ساز یک نظم جدید و چندقطبی در این منطقه شده است.The effect of the axis of resistance on the change of strategies and balance of power in the West Asian region (2011-2023)
The Islamic Revolution of Iran in 1979 marked a turning point in the political, social, and security developments of the West Asian region. This revolution not only transformed Iran's internal structures but also had extensive impacts on the power dynamics in the region. As a result of this transformation, the Axis of Resistance emerged as a politico-military movement. This axis, consisting of Iran, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Syria, Palestinian resistance groups, and other allied forces, has significantly influenced the balance of power by altering the strategies of regional and international players. In this context, the Islamic Republic of Iran, leveraging its ideological, geopolitical, and military capabilities, has played a crucial role in leading and expanding this axis.
To analyze the role of the Axis of Resistance and the changes it has brought to the region, neorealism, particularly the views of Kenneth Waltz, provides a suitable theoretical framework. This theory emphasizes that changes in the distribution of power and global and regional structures lead to the formation of strategic alliances and shifts in power dynamics. The Axis of Resistance, by weakening strategic rivals and strengthening regional alliances, has played a key role in redefining the regional order.
The Axis of Resistance, through its military power, active diplomacy, and security strategies, has altered the political landscape of the region and influenced the policies of Western and Arab countries. Some of its most significant effects include:
Role of the Axis of Resistance in Changing Security Strategies: The Axis of Resistance, as an influential force in the region, has impacted the security and military policies of various actors. By establishing military bases and supporting resistance groups, this axis has created effective deterrence against potential threats. These actions have not only strengthened Iran's security beyond its borders but also paved the way for countering the aggressive policies of the West and its regional allies.
Shift in the Regional Balance of Power: The Axis of Resistance has challenged the unilateral policies of the United States by creating new power poles in the region. Through increased military and political cooperation among regional actors, this axis has intensified existing rivalries and altered the balance of power. Countries that were previously dependent on U.S. policies are now seeking new relationships based on shared interests with Iran and resistance groups.
Consolidation of Iran’s Regional Influence: One of the key outcomes of the Axis of Resistance has been the expansion of Iran’s strategic depth in neighboring countries. By capitalizing on the power vacuums created by U.S. failures in Iraq and Afghanistan, Iran has strengthened its presence in these nations. Support for resistance groups in Syria and Lebanon has further solidified Iran’s position as a regional power. This influence has not only ensured Iran’s national security but also enhanced its geopolitical standing at the regional and international levels.
Failure of Western Strategies in Regional Order Formation: The policies of the United States and its allies aimed at establishing a new regional order that sidelines Iran have encountered multiple obstacles. Western efforts to contain Iran through sanctions, diplomatic pressure, and support for internal opposition have failed to diminish its influence. Instead, the Axis of Resistance, through maintaining cohesion and coordination among its members, has shifted the balance of power in favor of Iran. This trend has led to the failure of Western strategies in shaping their desired regional order.
Increasing Regional Actors’ Inclination Towards the Axis of Resistance: In recent years, many regional players previously aligned with Western policies have gradually gravitated towards the Axis of Resistance. The success of this axis in countering security threats and maintaining regional stability has led some countries to show greater willingness to cooperate with Iran and its allies. This shift in approach has facilitated stronger regional cooperation and reduced regional dependence on the West.
The victory of the Islamic Revolution of Iran and the emergence of the Axis of Resistance have brought about fundamental changes in regional and international politics. By forming strategic alliances and supporting resistance groups, Iran has managed to shift the balance of power in its favor and reduce the traditional influence of major powers in the region. The Axis of Resistance, as a model of political and social convergence, has curbed the aggressive policies of its rivals and altered their security and military strategies. This process, in addition to strengthening Iran’s position, has paved the way for the formation of a multipolar order in West Asia. Overall, the Axis of Resistance has proven to be a significant force in shaping the political and security landscape of the region and influencing its future trajectory.
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